Saturday, September 20, 2008

You Gotta Love Those Odds


According to Rasmussen,
Market data is updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants and current give Obama a 51.3 % chance of victory. Expectations for McCain are at 47.4 %.
So... 1.3% Ron Paul?

2 comments:

  1. The Great Sleep9/20/08, 1:25 PM

    It's actually Clinton who's in third place.

    http://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/trading/t_index.jsp?selConID=409933

    I'm not sure how Intrade works. I'm not sure if people actually expect Clinton to have a chance or if it's a "bug" due to people who previously bet on her not being active enough to admit defeat.

    I am the one who posted as Stopped Clock before.

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  2. I'm actually referencing polling data, not intrade.

    People bidding on Clinton at this point? I think it's time to take the write-off.

    ReplyDelete