Market data is updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants and current give Obama a 51.3 % chance of victory. Expectations for McCain are at 47.4 %.
I'm not sure how Intrade works. I'm not sure if people actually expect Clinton to have a chance or if it's a "bug" due to people who previously bet on her not being active enough to admit defeat.
It's actually Clinton who's in third place.
ReplyDeletehttp://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/trading/t_index.jsp?selConID=409933
I'm not sure how Intrade works. I'm not sure if people actually expect Clinton to have a chance or if it's a "bug" due to people who previously bet on her not being active enough to admit defeat.
I am the one who posted as Stopped Clock before.
I'm actually referencing polling data, not intrade.
ReplyDeletePeople bidding on Clinton at this point? I think it's time to take the write-off.