tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5973827.post7973011872173212518..comments2024-01-11T07:40:01.736-05:00Comments on The Stopped Clock: What Would Be a "Successful" Outcome in LibyaAaronhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16523334580402022332noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5973827.post-4039118524558368132011-03-23T14:54:34.308-04:002011-03-23T14:54:34.308-04:00Realistically speaking, it's difficult to imag...Realistically speaking, it's difficult to imagine an outcome to this intervention that does not either result in the current government retaining power, or some form of "power sharing agreement" with insurgent groups that will be difficult to enforce even if a UN peacekeeping force is put into Libya.<br /><br />Giving due consideration to Kerry's statements, I don't think the west really wants to turn over power to insurgent groups about which we know next to nothing even if they have a decent spokesperson. It's not clear at this point that they're competent to govern, even if we ultimately find their ideology acceptable. It also seems likely that a compelled truce with the current government, post-Qadaffi, won't last any longer than the western or UN military presence, nor would any <em>de facto</em> partition put into effect by virtue of the military presence.Aaronhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16523334580402022332noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5973827.post-33899619907874729622011-03-23T08:07:27.711-04:002011-03-23T08:07:27.711-04:00I heard, I believe it was John Kerry, defending th...I heard, I believe it was John Kerry, defending this action and talking about how he had met with <em>a</em> leader of the opposition who seemed like a perfectly nice and responsible sort of fellow. When challenged that he was describing one of many, and that even if his impressions were correct they may not be representative, he insisted that as this person had been chosen by the other dissident leaders to speak on their behalf it was fair to assume that he was representative. I guess it's obvious that if you're hostile to U.S. interests or goals, you're going to be completely honest, pick somebody to speak for you who will share the unvarnished truth, and alienate the military powers you want to act on your behalf. It would be wrong, and thus impossible, to engage in what amounts to disingenuous P.R. spin - it would <em>never</em> happen, right?Gideonnoreply@blogger.com